Nate Silver has become today’s leading statistician through his innovative analyses of political polling. He first gained national attention during the 2008 presidential election, when he correctly predicted the results of the primaries and the presidential winner in 49 states.
Today, Nate runs the award-winning political website FiveThirtyEight.com, where he publishes a running forecast of current elections and hot-button issues. Now published in the New York Times, FiveThirtyEight.com has made Nate the public face of statistical analysis and political forecasting.
He recently finished a book titled The Signal and the Noise: Why Most Predictions Fail, which rapidly achieved New York Times’ bestseller status. Before he came to politics, Nate established his credentials as an analyst of baseball statistics.
He developed a widely acclaimed system called PECOTA (Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm), which predicts player performance, career development, and seasonal winners and losers. He is the author of a series of books on baseball statistics, which include Mind Game, Baseball Between the Numbers, and It Ain’t Over ’til It’s Over.
Nate has written for ESPN.com, Sports Illustrated, Slate, New York Sun, New York Times. His work has been reported in such publications as the New York Times, Newsweek, Huffington Post, and Vanity Fair.
John Mauldin is a renowned financial expert, a New York Times best-selling author, and a pioneering online commentator. Each week, over 1 million readers turn to Mauldin for his penetrating view on Wall Street, global markets, and economic history. He is regularly seen on TV and in national print media.
John Mauldin’s weekly e-newsletter, Thoughts from the Frontline, was one of the first publications to provide investors with free, unbiased information and guidance. Today, it is the most widely distributed investment newsletter in the world. His bestselling books include Bull’s Eye Investing, Just One Thing, and Endgame as well as his recently released update to Bull’s Eye Investing- The Little Book of Bull’s Eye Investing.
Readers have access to a variety of Mauldin publications and services through his website including The Mauldin Circle, a free service that connects investors to an exclusive network of money managers and alternative investment opportunities. Through Mauldin Economics he publishes his Over My Shoulder subscription provides access the best of Mauldin’s extensive research and high-level analysis not typically available to individual investors.
Mauldin is the President of Millennium Wave Advisors, an investment advisory firm registered with multiple states. He is also a registered representative of Millennium Wave Securities, a FINRA-registered broker-dealer. He earned his Bachelor of Arts degree from Rice University in 1972 and his Master of Divinity degree from Southwestern Baptist Theological Seminary in 1974. He currently lives in Dallas, Texas. He is the proud father of 7 children, 5 of whom are adopted.
Few poker players attain legendary status before the age of 21. Tom “Durrrr” Dwan stands out as an exception. After initially playing Sit & Gos, he decided to focus on ring games and in time specialized as a heads-up player, relishing the intensity of one-on-one challenges.
By 2007, “Durrrr” was recognized as one of the best players in the world, acknowledged as a fiercely competitive player who was happy to play an opponent for whatever stakes they desired. Over the next few years, he proceeded to calmly and confidently take on some of the most famous players both live and online and became a poker superstar in the process.
In addition to his ring game ability, Dwan is recognized as a top tournament player. He has reached multiple WSOP and WPT final tables, with more than $2 million in career tournament earnings. He has also appeared on a number of televised poker programs, including Poker After Dark, the Million Dollar Cash Game, and High Stakes Poker. Feared and respected in equal measure, Dwan represents the new breed of a poker player.
Richard Howard, Co-PM of Japan Macro Opportunities Master Fund, LP: Mr. Howard is a Managing Director at Hayman Capital Management covering Global Markets. His responsibilities include the firm’s macroeconomic and geopolitical research, as well as investment thesis generation for non-US interest rates, foreign exchange, equities and sovereign credit.
Prior to joining Hayman Capital Management in March 2007, Mr. Howard spent two years in Washington D.C. as a strategic consultant with Clark & Weinstock, one of Washington’s leading public affairs and strategic consulting firms. During this time, he represented several clients across a range of industries throughout the U.S. and Asia-Pacific region.
Previously, he was employed by the Australian law firm of Clayton Utz Attorneys, where he worked in the Project Finance, Insurance Litigation and Construction practice groups. Mr. Howard graduated from the University of New South Wales in December 2003, with a Bachelor of Laws and Bachelor of Commerce in International Business. He is also accredited in Sovereign Credit Risk Analytics by Standard & Poors.
Phil Galfond is best known as a professional poker player. Galfond won a World Series of Poker bracelet in the $5,000 buy-in Pot-Limit Omaha with Rebuys event at the 2008 World Series of Poker. Due to his success as a high stakes online player, he appeared on multiple seasons of GSN’s High Stakes Poker.
Galfond is originally from Potomac, Maryland and attended Thomas Sprigg Wootton High School and the University of Wisconsin–Madison. He has spent his time primarily traveling and in New York City. His six amounts of cash at the WSOP account for at least $925,936 in winnings to date. Galfond gained a bit of amusing notoriety after a writer for Curbed, a real estate website, discovered he’d connected two of his NYC apartments with a metal slide in 2011.
Haralabos Voulgaris went to the University of Manitoba, where he graduated with a degree in philosophy. He has been making a living for himself as a professional sports bettor, particularly in NBA basketball, since his late teenage years. He then shifted his focus to playing poker, with cash games as his specialty.
It was in 2003 that Haralabos Voulgaris set his sights on becoming a winning tournament player and, after seeing the first season of a World Poker Tour broadcast, decided to give it a shot. He began his tournament run by cashing in the Bellagio Five Diamond World Poker Classic two years in a row in the $2,500 No-Limit Hold’em event.
Haralabos Voulgaris started 2007 by bagging $45,560 at the Crown Aussie Millions Championship in the No-Limit Hold’em Championship. He then accumulated $87,994 by cashing in the World Poker Tour World Championship, the Mirage Poker Showdown, the Bellagio Cup lll, as well as the Gulf Coast Poker Championship.
His biggest success in 2007, however, was his second runner-up finish at the Borgata Poker Open/World Poker Tour Season 6. He walked away with a staggering $434,560 in cash in the WPT No-Limit Hold’em Championship. Besides targeting a World Poker title, Haralabos Voulgaris dreams of becoming a playwright and having his plays performed on Broadway. Apart from this, he wants to become an accomplished piano player. During the off-season, Haralabos Voulgaris reads often, watches Canadian football, and also travels.
David Zervos is managing director and chief market strategist at Jefferies & Co. Inc. He is known for his provocative market strategy and views; his current presentation, “Fed Reflation vs. European Detonation” has received notable attention.
Zervos joined Jefferies in 2010 after spending 2009 as a visiting advisor in the Division of Monetary Affairs at the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in Washington, D.C. Prior to the Fed, he held a variety of research, sales and trading positions in the private sector, most recently managing global macro portfolios for Brevan Howard and UBS O’Connor.
He began his career as an economist at the Federal Reserve Board in the early 1990s. He received a B.Sc. from Washington University and an M.A. and Ph.D. in economics from the University of Rochester.
Kenny Tran is widely recognized as one of best live cash game players in the poker world. He began playing tournaments in 1999 and has thirteen career World Series of Poker cashes. Tran made the final table of the $50,000 World Championship H.O.R.S.E. Event at the 2007 WSOP.
He finished 5th and won $444,000. In that same year, he had his highest finish in the Main Event, finishing in 16th and earning $381,000. He also finished in 16th position in the inaugural World Series of Poker Europe Main Event, earning $68,000. At the 2008 World Series of Poker Tran won a bracelet in the $10,000 Heads-Up No-Limit Hold’em World Championship and his largest cash to date, earning $539,056.
Tran also plays online on Full Tilt Poker where he is a sponsored pro. He has four World Poker Tour cashes including finishing in 10th place at the Sixth Annual Five Star World Poker Classic in the $25,000 No Limit Hold’em WPT World Championship, earning $158,290. As of 2009, his total winnings exceed $2,100,000.His 13 cashes at the WSOP account for $1,661,619 of those winnings.
Aaron Brown is the author of “Red-Blooded Risk,” “The Poker Face of Wall Street” and “A World of Chance” (with Reuven and Gabrielle Brenner). He is a regular columnist for Wilmott Magazine, Quantum Magazine, and is a member of the National Book Critics Circle.
At the Global Association of Risk Professionals annual convention in February 2012, Brown was named risk manager of the year. He is best known for the idea that the economics of modern global derivatives evolved from gambling games rather than older financial institutions, and that gambling remains at the core of economic life. In past lives, he has been a trader, finance professor, portfolio manager and head of mortgage securities. Brown has been a serious cash game poker player since the 1970s.
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Nick Padlo is a former Military Intelligence officer, poker player, and business professional. During 27 months in combat operations with the U.S. Army, Padlo designed pattern analysis techniques to forecast enemy behavior, conducted interrogations for an Infantry Battalion, and trained an Iraqi Army Brigade on Military Intelligence techniques, including Human Intelligence and interrogations.
While in the Army, Padlo also honed his poker acumen, finding the analytics, pattern analysis, and physical interrogation tells all transferable. Following the Army, Padlo spent a year as a 5/10 NL cash game player in Las Vegas. He received his B.S. from the United States Military Academy at West Point, where he served as Chairman of the Cadet Honor Committee and graduated in the top 1% in his class.
Padlo also completed his MBA at the Stanford Graduate School of Business in 2010, and he is currently the Managing Partner of Graycourt Capital, a Search Fund in Dallas, TX. He was awarded the Bronze Star Medal and Combat Action Badge, named to the Top 40 under 40 – military, and published in the Small Wars Journal, Military Intelligence Professional Bulletin, and Poker Pro Magazine.